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Thunder vs Lakers Prediction 4/6/25 NBA Picks Today

LA Lakers (47-30) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (64-13)
April 6, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -9; Over/Under: 233
(Get latest betting odds)

The LA Lakers and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Sunday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Lakers Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Lakers Pick.

LA Lakers Betting Preview

The LA Lakers beat the Pelicans, lost to the Warriors, and they play the Mavs, Rockets, and Trail Blazers next. The Lakers have won four of their last six games and are the third seed in the West.


The LA Lakers are averaging 113.1 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 112.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting. LeBron James is averaging 24.5 points and 8.1 rebounds, while Luka Doncic is averaging 27.5 points and 8.6 rebounds. Austin Reaves is the third double-digit scorer, and Rui Hachimura is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The LA Lakers are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The LA Lakers are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.6 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Pistons, lost to the Rockets, and then play the Suns, Jazz, and Pelicans next. The Thunder haven’t lost two straight games since November 17-19.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 120.1 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 106.9 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.9 points and 6.3 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.2 points and 5.4 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 10.9 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 82.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 10 games following a loss.
  • The Lakers have lost six of their last seven road games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Thunder’s last six games at Paycom Center.
  • The Lakers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six day games against Northwest Division opponents.

Why the Los Angeles Lakers will win

  • The Lakers have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Thunder have lost five of their last six home games against Lakers teams that held a winning record.
  • The Lakers have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four home games against Lakers teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Lakers’ last six games at Paycom Center following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Nine of the Thunder’s last 10 games as favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Thunder vs Lakers Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Alex Ducas, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Ousmane Dieng, and Nikola Topic.

The LA Lakers will be without Maxi Kleber and Bronny James.

Thunder vs Lakers Prediction

The Thunder have a cover percentage of 69.8 percent, and it’s hard to make a case against them with that consistency. The Thunder have covered nine of their last 10 games. With that said, this is a lot of points to throw a healthy Lakers squad that’s fighting for playoff seeding. The Thunder will play with motivation as well, as they’re closing in on the top seed in the NBA. Still, a healthy Lakers squad can win any given game, and this is just a lot of points to throw their way. The Lakers have won seven of the last 10 games against the Thunder. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: LA Lakers +9

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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