Denver Nuggets (41-22) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (52-11)
March 9, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -7; Over/Under: 242
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Sunday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Nuggets Pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets beat the Kings and Suns, and they play the Timberwolves, Lakers, and Wizards next. The Nuggets have won 13 of their last 16 games and are fighting with the Lakers for the second seed in the West.
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 121.5 points on 50.8 percent shooting and allowing 116.3 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.9 points and 12.9 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.4 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.9 rebounds per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Grizzlies and Trail Blazers, and they play the Celtics, Pistons, and Bucks next. The Thunder are 15-2 in their last 17 games and are a game behind the Cavs for the best record in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 119.4 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 106.7 points on 43.4 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.8 points and 6.2 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.4 points and 5.5 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 11.3 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 82.6 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last nine games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Nuggets have lost four of their last five road games against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games following a win.
- The favorites have covered the spread in four of the Thunder’s last five games.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Nuggets and Thunder.
- The Thunder have lost five of their last six games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Nuggets.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Thunder following a win.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four day games against Northwest Division opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Twelve of the Nuggets’ last 13 games as underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Thunder’s last eight home games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Thunder vs Nuggets Injury Report
The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic.
The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II.
Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction
It’s tough to step in front of the Thunder, as they’ve been one of the best bets in sports these last two seasons. This year alone, the Thunder have a 66.1 cover percentage, which is the best in the NBA. Last year, the Thunder covered 56.2 percent of their games in the regular season. You’ve made some nice coin if blindly backing OKC. With that said, the Nuggets are looking more and more like a title contender, as Jokic is going crazy, and they’ve won seven of their last 10 games.
The Nuggets beat the Thunder back in November, for whatever that’s worth. I’m on the Nuggets bandwagon and see value with them in the underdog role, as we’re not going to get these chances often if this winning continues. Give me the Nuggets and the points.
