Wizards vs Thunder Prediction 3/21/26 NBA Picks Today

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Washington Wizards meet Saturday in NBA action at the Capital One Arena. Here’s a Wizards vs. Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Wizards vs. Thunder Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Magic and Nets and then play the 76ers next. The Thunder have won 15 of their last 17 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 118.5 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 107.7 points on 43.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.6 points and 6.7 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 17.5 points and 4.7 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 82.2 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.

Washington Wizards Betting Preview

The Washington Wizards lost to the Warriors and Pistons and will play the Knicks next. The Wizards have lost 57 of their last 75 games.

The Washington Wizards are averaging 114.4 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 125.6 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Alex Sarr is averaging 16.9 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Kyshawn George is averaging 14.8 points and 4.5 assists. Tre Johnson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaden Hardy is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Washington Wizards are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Washington Wizards are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Washington Wizards will win

• The Wizards have won five of their last seven games as home underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Thunder have lost three of their last four Saturday games as favorites.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games.
• The Wizards have covered the spread in each of their last six Saturday games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 28 road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Wizards have lost each of their last 14 games.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against the Wizards.
• The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last eight games between the Thunder and Wizards has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Thunder’s last six games as favorites against the Wizards has gone OVER the total points line.

Washington Wizards Player Facts

• Alex Sarr ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (2.0) this season.
• Bub Carrington ranks 13th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (39.0%) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Cason Wallace ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.1) this season.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the only player in the league to have recorded 15+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Wizards rank 30th in the league for point differential per game this season (-11.2).
• The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (48.0).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+11.0).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (43.4%).

Wizards vs Thunder Injury Report

The Wizards are without Cam Whitmore, D’Angelo Russell, Leaky Black, Kyshawn George, and Anthony Davis. Bilal Coulibaly and Alex Sarr are questionable.

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Branden Carlson, and Jalen Williams.

Wizards vs Thunder Prediction

The Wizards are awful and you shouldn’t make a habit of backing them but 20-plus points is nuts. You don’t see these sorts of lines in the NBA often. As good as OKC is at winning games, it’s just 33-36-1 ATS on the season. The Thunder have covered just 2 of their last 10 games. This will be just the fourth time in franchise history where the Thunder are favorites by 20 or more points. Again, you don’t get these numbers often. The Thunder aren’t the cash cows they’ve been in years past. There shouldn’t be motivation for OKC to blast the poor little Wizards. Give me the points.