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Stars vs Wild Prediction 4/30/26 NHL Picks Today

Dallas Stars (50-20-12) vs. Minnesota Wild (46-24-12)
April 30, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Wild 0.0001 / Dallas Stars 0.0001; Over/Under: 0.0001
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Stars vs Wild Prediction for Game 6 of this NHL Western Conference Quarterfinal on Thursday, April 30th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Minnesota Wild Preview

The Wild finished the regular season with 104 points with a 46-24-12 record and were placed 3rd in the Central Division. They have a 23-10-8 home record and are coming off a 4-2 road win over the Stars. Their previous three games were a 3-2 home overtime win, a 3-4 home double overtime loss, and a 2-4 road loss to the Stars.

Offensively, the Wild are averaging 3.27 goals per game and are scoring 25.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.87 goals per game and are killing 79.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild with 89 points and 45 goals, while Quinn Hughes leads the team in assists with 48. Filip Gustavsson is the starting goalie for the Wild, and he has a 28-15-6 record, with 2.69 GAA and .904 SV%. Jesper Wallstedt is the backup goalie and he has a 18-9-6 record, with 2.61 GAA and .916 SV%. Check out tonight’s game between the Oilers and Ducks.

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars finished the regular season with 112 points with a 50-20-12 record and were placed 2nd in the Central Division. They have a road record and are coming off a 2-4 home loss to the Wild. Their previous three games were a 2-3 road overtime loss, a 4-3 road double overtime win, and a 4-2 home win over the Wild.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring 28.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.71 goals per game and are killing 80.3% of their opponent’s power plays.

Jason Robertson leads the Stars with 96 points and 45 goals, while Mikko Rantanen leads the team in assists with 55. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 35-12-6 record, with 2.59 GAA and .899 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 15-8-6 record, with 2.43 GAA and .907 SV%.

Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild Betting Trends: April 30, 2026

 

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

  • The Stars have lost each of their last four games at Grand Casino Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Wild have won five of their last six home games.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five road games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Wild have covered the puck line in three of their last four games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Stars have lost the third period in each of their last five games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Stars have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
  • The Wild have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in 15 of their last 16 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Wild have lost the first period in each of their last four games as favorites following a road win.

Total Goals Facts

  • Eight of the Wild’s last nine games as favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Stars’ last four road games against the Wild following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last nine night games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last six night games.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

  • Matthew Boldy has scored at least one goal in three of his last four appearances in home games.
  • Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances in night games.
  • Quinn Hughes ranks 1st in the league for average time on ice (27:44) this season.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Jason Robertson has scored the first goal in four of the Stars’ last five road games against the Wild.
  • Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last eight playoff games.
  • Mikko Rantanen has recorded an assist in eight of the Stars’ last nine night games.
  • Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (27) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Minnesota Wild rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (25.19%).
  • The Minnesota Wild rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.87).
  • The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
  • The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.63%).

Stars vs Wild Prediction

Both teams are tied 3-3 in their last 6 meetings and the Wild are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Minnesota. Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Stars vs Wild Prediction, the Wild are coming as -125 home favorites. The Wild won game five in Dallas and got a commanding 3-2 lead and now have the chance to close this series at home, where they have lost only once in their last five meetings against the Stars. They got the momentum after winning back-to-back games in this series and they cannot afford to lose today, as this will send the series to a Game 7 in Dallas. Take the Wild on the moneyline to get the job done at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Minnesota Wild ML

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