Mavericks vs Heat Prediction 12/3/25 NBA Picks Today

The Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat clash Wednesday night in a NBA showdown at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Clippers, lost to the Pistons, and they play the Magic next. The Heat have won 22 their last 33 regular season games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 123.6 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 118.2 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 25.7 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Norman Powell is averaging 24.7 points and 2.4 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Clippers and Nuggets, and they play the Thunder next. The Mavs have lost 20 of their last 29 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 110.2 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 19.3 points and 2.7 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 16.7 points and 6.6 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won five of their last six games as home underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Heat have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a home win.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Mavericks have lost 15 of their last 16 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won each of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as road favorites.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in 17 of their last 21 home games against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mavericks’ last six games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Heat’s last eight games against the Mavericks following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Ryan Nembhard has recorded two games with 7+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
• Klay Thompson ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.5) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Davion Mitchell has recorded 21 games with 4+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
• The Heat are scoring 130.4 points per 48 minutes while Norman Powell are on the floor this season – highest mark of any qualified player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.1).
• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (26.5).
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (14.3).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (32.0%).

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum. Daniel Gafford and P.J. Washington are questionable.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier. Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, and Keshad Johnson are questionable.

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Don’t look now, but the Mavericks have won two straight games, cashing monster underdog tickets. However, it’s going to take more than that to move the needle. The Mavs have been awful dating back to the end of last season. The Heat continue to impress, and they’re 13-8 ATS on the season. The Heat already beat the Mavs a couple of weeks ago, and they’re healthier than they were before, getting Herro back in the mix. I’ve been on the Heat a lot up to this point, and it’s paid off. I’m not stepping in front of them for the Mavs. I’ll lay the reasonable number with the Heat on the road.