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76ers vs Heat Prediction 2/26/26 NBA Picks Today

Miami Heat (31-28) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (32-26)
February 26, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia 76ers -2.5; Over/Under: 239.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers meet Thursday in NBA action at the Xfinity Mobile Arena. Here’s a 76ers vs. Heat prediction. This article will include a 76ers vs. Heat pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Grizzlies and lost to the Bucks, and they play the Rockets next. The Heat have won 4 of their last 6 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 120 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.1 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 22.9 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 20.9 points and 3.2 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.3 rebounds per game.

Philadelphia 76ers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia 76ers beat the Timberwolves and Pacers and play the Celtics next. The 76ers have lost 5 of their last 8 games.

The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 116.6 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 47 percent shooting. Tyrese Maxey is averaging 29.1 points and 6.7 assists, while Joel Embiid is averaging 26.6 points and 7.4 rebounds. Paul George is the third double-digit scorer, and VJ Edgecombe is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Philadelphia 76ers are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 81.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Philadelphia 76ers are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Philadelphia 76ers will win

  • The Heat have lost each of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The 76ers have covered the spread in four of their last five night games against Southeast Division opponents.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The 76ers have lost each of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Heat have won eight of their last nine games following a loss.
  • The 76ers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last 10 games following a loss.

Total Points: Facts

  • Nine of the 76ers’ last 10 games as favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Heat’s last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

76ers vs Heat Injury Report

The 76ers will be without Johni Broome.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Nikola Jović. Davion Mitchell is questionable.

76ers vs Heat Prediction

As I’ve said time and time again, I just don’t trust the Heat. The Heat haven’t been able to string together wins, and some of their performances are completely inexcusable. We just saw the Heat go the final six and a half minutes without scoring a single field goal to lose to the Bucks. It’s a joke. The 76ers are coming off a couple of nice road wins, and Embiid is back in the mix. Now, the Heat are 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games against the 76ers. Still, at home and with a soft line, I’m going to side with the 76ers. I don’t have much use for the Heat down the stretch.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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