Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Analysis, Odds 10/18/2022 NBA Prop Bets

The Los Angeles Lakers (0-0) face the Golden State Warriors (0-0) at Chase Center in San Francisco. Let’s check out the recent stats and NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday’s matchup. The Warriors are favored to win at -245, currently marked as 6.0-point favorites, while the Lakers are at +205.

The total points line is set at 227.0, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-110 Golden State.

• The Lakers (+100) had a 35-45-2 ATS record last season, while the Warriors (-121) held a record of 54-46-4.
• The Lakers had a 47-35-0 O/U record last season (meaning 47 games went over the total points line and 35 went under). The Warriors had a 47-55-2 O/U record last season.

Scoring Insights

• The Lakers scored 112.1 points per game last season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Warriors averaged 111.0 (15th).
• Defensively, the Lakers allowed a whopping 115.1 points per game last season (28th in the league), while the Warriors gave up an average of 105.5 points (3rd).

Game Style Analysis

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams played last season?

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 38.8% of the Lakers’ field goal attempts came from three point range (17th in the league), leaving 61.2% from two. Meanwhile, the Warriors’ opponents recorded 41.6% of their attempts from three (20th) and 58.4% from two.
• Comparatively, Golden State took 45.6% of shots from three (3rd), leaving 54.4% from two, while the Lakers’ opponents attempted 39.5% from three (19th) and 60.5% from two.

Three Point Shooting

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Lakers shot 34.7% from deep last season (22nd in the NBA), compared to the Warriors who made 36.4% of their attempts (8th).
• On the opposite end, the Lakers held opponents to 35.2% of their three-point attempts (14th), while Golden State’s opponents hit 33.9% of their shots (3rd).

Ball Protection

• The Lakers committed 13.9 turnovers per game last season, ranking 28th in the league. The Warriors may be well placed to take advantage of those numbers given they forced 13.7 turnovers per contest (8th).
• Flipping that script, the Lakers forced 13.3 turnovers (11th), while Golden State committed 14.3 (29th).

Crashing the Boards

• The Lakers recorded 44.0 rebounds per game last season (18th in the league), including 9.5 offensive boards (23rd). Conversely, Golden State’s opponents averaged 42.6 rebounds (5th), 9.7 of which came on the offensive end (6th).
• Meanwhile, the Warriors averaged an impressive 45.5 rebounds (7th) and 9.8 offensive rebounds (20th), while the Lakers allowed 46.6 and 11.0, ranking 25th and 23rd.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2021/22.

• Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Last 10
• LA Lakers 36-41-5 19-18-4 17-23-1 22-16-4 14-25-1
• Golden State 49-49-6 32-18-3 17-31-3 39-36-4 10-13-2

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2021/22.

• Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Last 10
• LA Lakers 29-49-4 16-22-3 13-27-1 22-17-3 7-32-1
• Golden State 54-47-3 37-15-1 17-32-2 48-29-2 6-18-1

HT/FT

• The Lakers completed the HT/FT double in 20.7% of games last season, while the Warriors completed the HT/FT double in 45.2% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday’s matchup is +1300 to go to overtime.

• The Lakers played in 10 games that went to overtime last season, while the Warriors appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams scored 110+ points in 40 of the Lakers’ 82 games last season. Meanwhile, 26 of Golden State’s 104 games saw both squads reach that number.

Last Time These Teams Met

Golden State recorded a 128-112 victory over the Lakers at Chase Center when these teams last met on April 7, 2022. Despite being on the losing side, Talen Horton-Tucker dominated both ends on that day, finishing with 40 points and 4 steals.