Minnesota Timberwolves (22-13) vs. Washington Wizards (9-24)
January 4, 2026 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Wizards +10.5; Over/Under: 235.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Wizards play host to the Minnesota Timberwolves at the Capital One Arena on Sunday night. Here’s a Wizards vs Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Wizards vs Timberwolves Pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been in decent form as they’ve won five of their last eight games overall and they will be eager to build some momentum after blowing past the Heat in a 125-115 road win last night. Anthony Edwards led the team with 33 points and five assists on 10 of 19 shooting, Naz Reid added 29 points on 10 of 15 shooting off the bench while Julius Randle tallied 23 points with 10 rebounds and four assists. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 54 percent from the field and 11 of 38 from the 3-point line as they held a narrow lead for most of the game. However, they didn’t take full control until they opened the fourth quarter on a decisive 19-4 run to pull away and win comfortably on the road.
Washington Wizards Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Washington Wizards have been in surprisingly good form lately as they’ve reeled off four wins from their past five games. They will be aiming for a season-high third straight victory after making light work of the Nets in a 119-99 win on Friday. Justin Champagnie led the team with 20 points on nine of 12 shooting, Alex Sarr added 19 points on eight of 15 shooting, while CJ McCollum chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Wizards shot 51 percent from the field and 11 of 29 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 37 points in the first quarter to jump out to an early double-digit lead. They just never took their foot off the gas until the lead ballooned to 28 points.
Why the Washington Wizards will win
- The Wizards have won each of their 10 previous home games against the Timberwolves following a win.
- The Timberwolves have lost each of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Wizards.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games following a win.
- The Wizards have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 games against the Timberwolves.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Wizards have lost each of their last 11 games as home underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last 11 Sunday games.
- The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six games between the Timberwolves and Wizards.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of the Wizards’ last 11 home games against the Timberwolves have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Timberwolves’ last six games as favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Washington Wizards Player Facts
- Alex Sarr rank 1st amongst qualified players for steals + blocks per game (3.1) this season.
- C.J. McCollum is one of only seven players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Rudy Gobert ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (71.0%) this season.
- Donte DiVincenzo has recorded nine games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (48.2).
- The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (13.9).
- The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for H2 win percentage this season (74.3%).
- The Timberwolves have used only four different starting fives this season – fewest in the league.
Wizards vs Timberwolves Prediction
The Timberwolves are coming in with a full squad again minus Terrence Shannon Jr, while the Wizards have ruled out Cam Whitmore and Kyshawn George, with Tristan Vutkevic listed as questionable. The Timberwolves haven’t been at their absolute best lately, but they played great basketball to snap the Heat’s four-game win streak last night. In contrast, the Wizards were really struggling before winning four of their last five games, and they looked like a different team in their massive win over the Nets on Friday. It’s hard to picture anything but a win for the Timberwolves in this spot, but the Wizards have come to life lately and I think they make pests of themselves and keep this one to single digits in the end.
