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Wizards vs Bucks Prediction 1/29/26 NBA Picks Today

Milwaukee Bucks (18-27) vs. Washington Wizards (11-34)
January 29, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Wizards +2.5; Over/Under: 223.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Bucks and Washington Wizards meet Thursday in NBA action at the Capital One Arena. Here’s a Wizards vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Wizards vs Bucks Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks lost to the 76ers and Nuggets, and they play the Celtics next. The Bucks have lost 7 of their last 9 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 111.9 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 115.5 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28 points and 10 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 16.8 points and 5 rebounds. Ryan Rollins is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 73.4 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game.

Washington Wizards Betting Preview

The Washington Wizards lost to the Hornets, beat the Trail Blazers, and they play the Lakers next. The Wizards have lost 38 of their last 51 games.

The Washington Wizards are averaging 112.3 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 123.1 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Alex Sarr is averaging 17.4 points and 7.3 rebounds, while Kyshawn George is averaging 15.5 points and 5.1 assists. Tre Johnson is the third double-digit scorer, and Bilal Coulibaly is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Washington Wizards are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Washington Wizards are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Washington Wizards will win

  • The Bucks have lost each of their last six night games.
  • The Wizards have won four of their last five games as underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games.
  • The Wizards have covered the spread in each of their last four games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Bucks.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Wizards have lost each of their last eight games against Central Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Bucks have won each of their last six games against the Wizards following a loss.
  • The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Central Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last four road games following a road loss.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the Wizards’ last nine home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Bucks’ last five road games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Washington Wizards Player Facts

  • Bub Carrington ranks 12th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.3%) this season.
  • Kyshawn George ranks 9th amongst qualified Forwards for assists per game (5.1) this season.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

  • Bobby Portis is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (6.6) and three-point shooting percentage (45.8%) this season.
  • Myles Turner is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.5 threes and 1.5 blocks this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Wizards rank 30th in the league for point differential per game this season (-10.5).
  • The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (47.8).
  • The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.5).
  • The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (73.3%).

Wizards vs Bucks Injury Report

The Wizards are without Trae Young, Cam Whitmore, Marvin Bagley III, and Tristan Vukcevic. Alex Sarr questionable.

The Bucks will be without Taurean Prince, Kevin Porter Jr., and Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Wizards vs Bucks Prediction

On paper the Bucks should win this game, but they’ve been bad this season especially on the road where they’re 9-15 SU. I’m also not excited to back the Bucks in the favorite role when they’re down Antetokounmpo, and now the trade rumors are getting louder, which doesn’t help in terms of distractions. Also, the Wizards have covered 4 of their last 5 games, and they’ve seen 7 of their 11 wins come at home. The Wizards did beat the Bucks twice last month as double-digit underdogs. It would shock nobody if the Wizards won this game outright as well. Give me the free bucket.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Washington Wizards +2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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