Milwaukee Bucks (40-31) vs. Denver Nuggets (45-28)
March 26, 2025 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -3.5; Over/Under: 226
(Get latest betting odds)
The Milwaukee Bucks pay a visit to the Denver Nuggets at the Ball Arena on Wednesday night. Here’s a Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Nuggets vs Bucks Pick.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks have been in a rut as they’ve lost six of their last 10 games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back after falling painfully short to the Suns in a 108-106 road defeat on Monday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 31 points, 10 rebounds and five assists, Brook Lopez added 23 points with 10 rebounds and three assists while Gary Trent Jr chipped in with 19 points off the bench.
As a team, the Bucks shot 44 percent from the field and 12 of 39 from the 3-point line as they went back and forth with the Suns in a close contest that could’ve easily gone either way. Before a blown defensive coverage allowed the Suns’ Devin Booker to drain the game-winner with just 2.1 seconds left on the clock.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been in poor form, as they’ve lost four of their last six games overall. They will be looking for a better result after getting routed by the resurgent Bulls in a 129-119 home defeat on Monday. Jamal Murray led the team with 28 points and seven assists, Peyton Watson added 24 points with four blocks, Christian Braun added 18 points while Michael Porter Jr chipped in with 16 points.
As a team, the Nuggets shot 47 percent from the field and 11 of 36 from the 3-point line as they got off to a great start and poured in 35 points in the first quarter to take an early 13-point lead. However, the Nuggets allowed the Bulls to hang around and it cost them as the Bulls went on a 25-11 run in the fourth quarter to slip away in the end.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last 10 night games following a home loss.
- The Bucks have lost nine of their 10 previous games at Ball Arena following a loss.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in eight of their last nine night games following a home loss.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at Ball Arena following a road loss.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The underdogs have won five of the Nuggets’ last six games.
- The Nuggets have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Nuggets’ last eight games at Ball Arena.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as favorites.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.0).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent assists per game this season (29.1).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.5).
- The Bucks rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.0).
Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction
The Bucks are going to be short-handed for this game as Damian Lillard is already ruled out, and Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as questionable due to a left foot sprain. The Nuggets are expecting to have Nikola Jokic back in the lineup, but Aaron Gordon is still listed as questionable.
Both teams are going to be missing some key players, but it’s the Bucks who could be severely depleted if Antetokounmpo isn’t able to suit up, as Lillard is already ruled out. The Bucks beat the Nuggets by 121-112 back on Feb. 27, but I expect the Nuggets to get their revenge here, so I think they are great value at the short line in this spot.
