Heat vs Bucks Prediction – NBA Picks 1/14/23

The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat meet Saturday in NBA action at the FTX Arena. The Milwaukee Bucks have won 5 of their last 8 games. The Miami Heat have won 7 of their last 10 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 112.2 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 110.9 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 31 points and 11.9 rebounds, while Jrue Holiday is averaging 18.4 points and 5 rebounds. Brook Lopez is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 10.1 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 73.8 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.2 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat are averaging 108.8 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 108.8 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 22.1 points and 6.4 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.4 points and 9.9 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Max Strus is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 82.8 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.1 rebounds per game.

The Bucks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 overall. The under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 overall. The Bucks are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Miami and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Bucks probably should have Antetokounmpo for this one, but they’re still an injured team that’s had issues on the road all year. The Bucks lose on the road by an average of 4 points this season. The Miami Heat are playing some of their best ball of the season right now, and they’ve had success over the years against the Bucks, mainly with Bam giving Antetokounmpo issues. Give me the Heat at home.